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Newsmax Inc. (NMAX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- NMAX’s first public-quarter delivered double-digit top-line growth: revenue rose 11.6% YoY to $45.3M on stronger linear ratings, higher ad pricing, and affiliate fee uplift; gross profit rose 6.8% with gross margin at 47.8% (down ~220 bps YoY) as costs stepped up with public company readiness and programming investments .
- Profitability remained negative: net loss improved to $(17.2)M from $(50.7)M YoY on lapping large prior-year legal costs, but Adjusted EBITDA swung to $(1.2)M from $3.2M on higher cost of revenues and G&A tied to expansion, IPO-related costs, and inauguration coverage .
- Demand signals healthy: ad revenue +13.5% YoY, affiliate +12.5%, and subscription +10.2% driven by ratings strength (Q1 viewers 33.6M, +50% YoY) and Newsmax+ growth; Broadcast segment revenue +20.2% YoY, while Digital declined as election-cycle strength faded .
- Balance sheet strengthened post-IPO/private raise (cash and cash equivalents $126.7M) providing flexibility for distribution expansion and content investments; internal control material weaknesses and ongoing Dominion litigation remained key watch items in Q1 .
- Consensus estimates: S&P Global did not show Q1 2025 EPS/Revenue consensus for NMAX (recent IPO); thus, no beat/miss vs Street can be assessed this quarter. S&P Global consensus was unavailable.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Ratings/viewership momentum: “record 33.6 million viewers… up 50% YoY,” with Newsmax the fourth highest-rated cable news channel and second in engagement among ages 35–64; CEO highlighted strengthened distribution across cable and streaming, including Hulu + Live TV and international agreements .
- Broad-based revenue growth: Advertising +13.5% YoY to $28.9M on higher ratings/pricing; Affiliate +12.5% to $7.4M on new contracts/rate increases; Subscription +10.2% to $7.0M on Newsmax+ growth .
- Liquidity: cash and cash equivalents of $126.7M (+427% vs 12/31/24), bolstered by pre-IPO and IPO raises; CFO emphasized capital access supporting momentum and long-term shareholder value .
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What Went Wrong
- Profitability pressure: Adjusted EBITDA $(1.2)M vs $3.2M YoY on higher cost of revenues, G&A tied to expansion and public company costs, and inauguration coverage; gross margin fell to 47.8% from 50.0% .
- Digital softness: Digital revenue fell 13.1% YoY (ads and subscriptions down following election-year comps), with Digital segment Adjusted EBITDA declining to $(3.3)M from $(0.6)M .
- Controls and legal overhang: management disclosed material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting as of Q1; Dominion defamation suit remained ongoing with outcomes/financial impact uncertain at that time .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Q1 2025):
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Revenue by segment and component
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Segment Adjusted EBITDA (Q1 2025)
KPIs and balance sheet:
- Viewership: 33.6M quarterly viewers, +50% YoY; 4th highest-rated cable news channel; 5th highest-rated network total day; 2nd in engagement ages 35–64 .
- Cash and Cash Equivalents: $126.7M at 3/31/25 .
Note on sequential comps: As a new public company (listed Mar 31, 2025), detailed public Q4 2024 quarterly results were not furnished; sequential (QoQ) comparisons to Q4 2024 are not available in company filings .
Guidance Changes
- Q1 2025: No formal financial guidance provided in the earnings materials .
- Subsequent update (context): In Q2 and Q3 2025, the company reiterated FY25 revenue guidance of $180–$190M .
Note: FY25 revenue guidance of $180–$190M was reiterated in Q2/Q3 post-Q1 period for investor context .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
No public Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was located; themes below draw from the 8-K/10-Q and compare narrative evolution.
Management Commentary
- CEO (Christopher Ruddy): “We are thrilled to share our first earnings results as a publicly traded company… Newsmax has grown into the fourth highest-rated cable news channel… Our growth is due in part to our continued mission of providing… balanced coverage, diverse viewpoints and open debates.”
- CEO: “Our strong relationships with distributors and advertisers, such as our… agreement with Hulu + Live TV… Supercanal… Cellcom Israel and Telecom Armenia… ensure that our content reaches broader audiences across platforms.”
- CFO (Darryle Burnham): “With enhanced access to capital from our pre-IPO and IPO raises, we are well-positioned to sustain our momentum… we remain focused on delivering long-term value to our shareholders.”
Q&A Highlights
- No Q1 2025 earnings call transcript was available in the company’s document set; no Q&A themes to report for the quarter.
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were not available for NMAX’s Q1 2025 EPS or revenue (recent IPO), so a beat/miss versus Street could not be assessed. S&P Global consensus was unavailable.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Ratings-led revenue growth with multi-pronged drivers (ads, affiliate, subscriptions) supported an 11.6% YoY top-line increase; Broadcast segment strength offset election-cycle normalization in Digital .
- Margins compressed as costs rose for programming, headcount, and public company readiness; near-term profitability remains a function of cost discipline versus growth investments .
- Strong liquidity from pre-IPO and IPO (cash and cash equivalents $126.7M) gives ample runway for distribution expansion, content, and talent initiatives .
- Legal and governance watch items: Dominion remains unresolved (as of Q1) and material weaknesses in ICFR require sustained remediation; both are potential valuation overhangs until addressed .
- Strategic upside: affiliate fee repricing as contracts renew, incremental distribution (Hulu + Live TV, international), and scaling Newsmax+ represent medium-term monetization catalysts .
- KPI momentum is a differentiator (33.6M viewers, +50% YoY; engagement strength), supporting ad pricing and affiliate negotiations; monitor if audience gains persist post-election cycles .
- For trading: absence of consensus makes headline beat/miss less catalytic; narrative catalysts skew toward distribution deals, guidance initiation/updates, litigation milestones, and evidence of margin inflection.
Appendix: Additional Context on Subsequent Quarters (for trajectory)
- Q2 2025: Revenue $46.4M (+18.4% YoY); net loss $(75.2)M primarily due to Dominion settlement recognition; Adjusted EBITDA $(3.8)M; FY25 revenue guidance reiterated at $180–$190M .
- Q3 2025: Revenue $45.3M (+4.0% YoY); net loss $(4.1)M; Adjusted EBITDA $(1.8)M; FY25 revenue guidance reiterated .
Sources:
- Q1 2025 8-K press release and financials .
- Q1 2025 Form 10-Q narrative and financials .
- Q2 2025 8-K press release/financials .
- Q3 2025 8-K press release/financials .